Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analyses of Ballast Life-Cycle Cost and Payback Period

TitleUncertainty and Sensitivity Analyses of Ballast Life-Cycle Cost and Payback Period
Publication TypeReport
LBNL Report NumberLBNL-44450
Year of Publication2000
AuthorsMcMahon, James E., Xiaomin Liu, Isaac Turiel, Sajid Hakim, and Diane C. Fisher
Document NumberLBNL-44450
Date PublishedJune 1
Abstract

The paper introduces an innovative methology for evaluating the relative significance of energy-efficient technologies applied to fluorescent lamp ballasts. The method involves replacing the point estimates of life cycle cost of the ballasts with uncertainty distributions reflecting the whole spectrum of possible costs, and the assessed probability associated with each value. The results of uncertainty and sensitivity analyses will help analysts reduce effort in data collection and carry on analysis more efficiently. These methods also enable policy makersto gain an insightful understanding of which efficient technology alternatives benefit or cost what fraction of consumers, given the explicit assumptions of the analysis.

Notes

Formal Report, 2nd International Conference on Energy Efficiency in Household Appliances and Lighting, 108, issue: 13, September 27-29, 2000