Contributions of Individual Countries' Emissions to Climate Change and Their Uncertaintiy

TitleContributions of Individual Countries' Emissions to Climate Change and Their Uncertaintiy
Publication TypeReport
Year of Publication2010
AuthorsHöhne, Niklas, Helcio Blum, Jan Fuglestvedt, Ragnhild Bieltvedt Skeie, Atsushi Kurosawa, Guoquan Hu, Jason Lowe, Laila Gohar, Ben Matthews, Ana Claudia Nioac de Salles, and Christian Ellermann
Pagination33
Date PublishedSeptember 24
Abstract

We have compiled historical greenhouse gas emissions and their uncertainties on country and sector level and assessed their contribution to cumulative emissions and to global average temperature increase in the past and for a the future emission scenario.We find that uncertainty in historical contribution estimates differs between countries due to different shares of greenhouse gases and time development of emissions. Although historical emissions in the distant past are very uncertain, their influence on countries' or sectors' contributions to temperature increase is relatively small in most cases, because these results are dominated by recent (high) emissions. For relative contributions to cumulative emissions and temperature.

Notes

Journal, Climatic Change, DOI 10.1007/s10584-010-9930-6.Sep, 2010

AttachmentSize
PDF1.03 MB