California Greenhouse Gas Measurement Project (CALGEM)
In 2006, California
passed landmark legislation (AB-32) to reduce emissions of greenhouse
gases
(GHGs) responsible for global climate change. AB-32 commits California
to reduce total GHG emissions to 1990 levels by 2020, a reduction of 25
percent
from current levels and to 80 percent below 1990 levels by
2050. To verify
that GHG emission reductions are taking place, it will be necessary to
measure emissions
regionally. In 2003, we began an exploratory
project
with the California Energy
Commission's Public
Interest Energy Research Program to
estimate whether atmospheric methods could be used to quantify GHG
emissions on
air basin to regional scales. Based on that work, we began a pilot
project to implement GHG meaasurements in 2006. The California
Greenhouse gas measurement project (CALGEM) is a collaboration with
the
Global Monitoring Division
of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) to
implement measurements of greenhouse gas emissions in the San
Francisco to Sacramento
areas.
CALGEM will develop measurement and analysis
techniques to
estimate local-regional land surface emissions of major greenhouse
gases (CO2,
CH4, N2O, SF6, and halo carbons) using
concentration
measurements in combination with atmospheric inverse models. Tower locations in San
Fracisco Bay and Sacramento Delta areas were chosen to capture the
influences of a mixture of urban and rural land uses. In
collaboration with the NOAA Global Monitoring Division (Arlyn Andrews
<Arlyn.Andrews@noaa.gov>), twice daily flask samples are
collected at both towers and subsequently analyzed for all important
GHGs (CO2, CO, CH4, SF6, and halo
carbons). At the Sacramento Delta site,
continuous CH4 and 222Rn analyzers from LBNL and
CO2, and CO from NOAA are now also operational.
Episodic 14CO2 sampling is planned for
both sites. Measurement techniques include
cavity-ringdown
diode-laser spectroscopy, non-dispersive IR absorption, and
low-background
counting of naturally occurring radionuclides (e.g., 222Radon). Spatially explicit “prior” models for GHG
emissions from California
will be
refined in cooperation with the California Air Resources Board. Mesoscale modeling will be performed using a
specialized version of Weather Research Forecasting (WRF) model. Surface influence functions, which quantify
how
much a unit flux of GHG from the land surface changes atmospheric GHG
concentrations, are calculated using a time-inverted Lagrangian
particle
transport model. Probabilistic
“best-estimates” of GHG emissions and their uncertainties will be
computed by
optimal adjustment of the prior emissions estimates to provide a best
match
between measured and predicted atmospheric GHG concentration using
classic Bayesian
estimation or modern Kalman filtering.
News Articles:
Nature,
Oct 24th, 2007
Daily
Californian, Oct 22nd, 2007
Contra
Costa Times, Oct 16th, 2007
Sacramento Bee,
Oct 16th, 2007
SF
Chronicle, Oct 15, 2007
KCRA Coverage, Oct
15, 2007
KRON
Coverage, Oct 15, 2007
KTVU
Coverage, Oct 15, 2007
LBNL
Today at Berkeley Lab, April, 2007
Presentations:
California
Energy Commission Climate Change Meeting, Sept 11, 2007
Publications:
CEC
Project on Planning Atmospheric GHG Monitoring for California